Simulation model of the professional consumer’s energy balance

Abstract

The paper presents a simulation model of the energy balance of a professional consumer. The possibilities for detailing this kind of models, as well as the universality of the approach, are shown. The use of a system-dynamic approach is justified and an analysis of existing models is carried out. A simulation model of a professional consumer enterprise is demonstrated, implemented in AnyLogic software. The main parameters of the model are determined, the possibilities of correction coefficients and the functions that determine them are shown. It is shown that forecasting two functions, consumption and generation, without using a simulation model is unpromising, including some random factors, primarily due to uneven generation from the main sources of internal generation, as well as due to the time difference generation peaks and consumption peaks. The possibilities of transitioning the model to a digital twin are shown, as well as the potential of the model for optimization and forecasting.